Mubarak’s gamble, by Sandmonkey

RANTINGS OF A SANDMONKEY, FEBRUARY 11, 2010

Earlier yesterday, I spoke to Wael Ghonim and he told me to expect some very good news around 5 pm that night, but he never elaborated what it is. Around 10 am, we heard that Saudi Arabia, alongside UAE and Kuwait, are creating an aid package to Egypt to possibly replace that of the US. Around 4 pm last night, we recieved the news that the President itends to step down tonight and give all of his responsbilities to the VP, Omar Suleiman. The Army then convened and issued its first statement, in a meeting without Mubarak or his VP around 5 pm. Around 9 pm Egypt time, Obama did a speech congratulating the people of Egypt for their march for democracy, so it seemed like a done deal. Finally, an hour later than originally announced, President Hosny Mubarak , against all expectations and information, refused to step down from his post, and said that he refuses any foreign interference in Egypt. The White House then announced that it has been double-crossed by the Egyptian regime.

Now, what does this all mean?

Well, 4 main things:

1) Mubarak is not going to leave Office without bloodshed. Any attempt for a peaceful exit has been discarded by his regime, and they are intending to fight the will of the people until the end.

2) Mubarak has burned the image of Hossam Badrawy and the Wisemen council with his speech. Hossam Badrawy, the secretary general of the NDP, was the face of the NDP that announced Mubarak’s intenetion to abdicate power later tonight. Now the man has no credibility. Same goes for the Wiseman Council, since Mubarak’s speech was focused on how he has met their demands, which don’t include him leaving. If most of them don’t quit their posts today, I would be greatly surprised.

3) We are seeing the first possible split in the power structure in Egypt: It seems that the Armed forces are in one camp, and the president, intelligence agencies and the republican guard in another camp. If you add to the equation the Ministery of Interior and the protesters, you have 4 players right now in an intensely unpredictable power struggle. We are now awaiting the second statement from the High council of amred forces to clearify their position once and for all. Whether the Army is with or against the people will determine a lot of today’s outcome.

4) Mubarak has now put the US in a corner: He double-crossed the White House, and announced his intentions to fight foriegn intervention. Adding to that the news of the arab aid, he is sending the US a clear message: “I could tell you and your aid to go to hell, and get the money from the arabs instead. Where does this leave your precious Israel? If you don’t want us to cause problems on that front, you better shut up about what we will do and get with the program, or else!”

If you take all of those factors into consideration, the situation starts looking intensely ominous. If the regime and the army has split, we could see major fighting and bloodshed today. If the Army is with the President, then they will all turn their guns on the Protesters, who are determined not to live under Mubarak rule for one extra day. It also means that he put on the line the future of the transitional government with Omar Suleiman in charge, because Suleiman’s fate seems intensely intertwined with the President now. This has become a fight for survival: it’s either the regime or the people. The bad news is, the regime has all the weapon and organization. The good news is, the people are determined and increasing in numbers and the army might step in and save us all unnecessary bloodshed.

It all depends on the army’s statement now.

The wait is killing me.

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Paper Cuts, March 26 2010

Paper Cuts (March for the Alternative, 26 March, London) from csp.org.uk on Vimeo.

The All Together for Public Services campaign continues with the March For the Alternative in London, on 26 March 2011. Please visit csp.org.uk/​alltogether for more information, and share this video with any colleagues or websites that may be interested.

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Live updates from Julian Assange extradition hearing

DAY TWO

FEBRUARY 8. 2010. CLICK LINK OR PICTURE FOR THE GUARDIAN’S LIVE COVERAGE OF TODAY’S HEARING

DAY ONE

FEBRUARY 7. 2010. CLICK LINK OR PICTURE FOR THE GUARDIAN’S LIVE COVERAGE OF TODAY’S HEARING

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Pictures from Egypt

AROUND 100 POWERFUL PICTURES FROM THE EGYPTIAN REVOLUTION. THANKS TO @NEVINEZAKI FOR THIS LINK.
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“Witchhunt” charges against Ilina Sen to be dropped

FROM TEHELKA, FEBRUARY 4, 2010

NEW DELHI: Maharashtra government, after the intervention of the Union Home Ministry, has agreed to drop a case registered by the Nagpur ATS (anti-terrorist squad) against Ilina Sen, wife of jailed rights activist Binayak Sen, for not reporting about the foreign delegates to a conference she held at Wardha last month.

”Her name is set to be dropped from an FIR (First Information Report) filed by the state police under the Foreigners Act on January 24,” a senior Home Ministry official here said. Giving details of the case, officials said she was booked under the Foreigners Act for not filing Form C, giving details of the foreigners. They concluded that it was responsibility of the hotel owner to fill up the form to let police know about the foreigners.

“The conference was being held with the Home Ministry’s permission. If Form C was not filled up, it was the hotel’s fault. The ATS seems to have gone overboard. We have requested the Maharashtra government to drop the case and they have agreed,” an official said.

Ilina was booked as she is the head of Mahatma Gandhi Antarrashtriya Vishwavidyalaya’s women studies department and an executive member of the Indian Association for Women’s Studies (IAWS) that had jointly organised the conference. She is being informed about withdrawal of the case, the official added.

The ATS has, however, booked the Wardha hotellier under the Foreigners Act for not providing local police with details of foreign nationals staying there, and subsequently registered a similar case against Ilina. The hotelier has been arrested.

Earlier, a group of eminent citizens, in an open letter to the Union Home Minister P. Chidambaram, had protested against the FIR against Ilina, describing it a “witch-hunt”.

Posted in Dissent, Human Rights, India, Maoist rebellion, Urgent Action | Leave a comment

Sandmonkey: a voice from the Egyptian revolution

Famous Egyptian blogger arrested in Tahrir Square, website shut down. Many round the world, including this site, published the last piece he wrote [below]. Sandmonkey was reported to have escaped, but was actually released after being beaten up. His site is back. The whole story here, and more to come.

TWITTER UPDATES

Wednesday: Sandmonkey Skype interview with Roger L Simon before his arrest.

Update 14:30 Thursday. Just heard Sandmonkey has escaped and is on the run.

Update 17:00. Word on Twitter now that Sandmonkey did not escape but was released.

Update 17:22 Sandmonkey interviewed by Fatafalin after his release. Was beaten up.

Update Friday am. Sandmonkey.Org now back online.


EGYPT, RIGHT NOW! By ‘Sandmonkey’

I don’t know how to start writing this. I have been battling fatigue for not sleeping properly for the past 10 days, moving from one’s friend house to another friend’s house, almost never spending a night in my home, facing a very well funded and well organized ruthless regime that views me as nothing but an annoying bug that its time to squash will come. The situation here is bleak to say the least.

It didn’t start out that way. On Tuesday Jan 25 it all started peacefully, and against all odds, we succeeded to gather hundreds of thousands and get them into Tahrir Square, despite being attacked by Anti-Riot Police who are using sticks, tear gas and rubber bullets against us. We managed to break all of their barricades and situated ourselves in Tahrir. The government responded by shutting down all cell communication in Tahrir square, a move which purpose was understood later when after midnight they went in with all of their might and attacked the protesters and evacuated the Square. The next day we were back at it again, and the day after. Then came Friday and we braved their communication blackout, their thugs, their tear gas and their bullets and we retook the square. We have been fighting to keep it ever since.

That night the government announced a military curfew, which kept getting shorter by the day, until it became from 8 am to 3 pm. People couldn’t go to work, gas was running out quickly and so were essential goods and money, since the banks were not allowed to operate and people were not able to collect their salary. The internet continued to be blocked, which affected all businesses in Egypt and will cause an economic meltdown the moment they allow the banks to operate again. We were being collectively punished for daring to say that we deserve democracy and rights, and to keep it up, they withdrew the police, and then sent them out dressed as civilians to terrorize our neighborhoods. I was shot at twice that day, one of which with a semi-automatic by a dude in a car that we the people took joy in pummeling. The government announced that all prisons were breached, and that the prisoners somehow managed to get weapons and do nothing but randomly attack people. One day we had organized thugs in uniforms firing at us and the next day they disappeared and were replaced by organized thugs without uniforms firing at us. Somehow the people never made the connection.

Despite it all, we braved it. We believed we are doing what’s right and were encouraged by all those around us who couldn’t believe what was happening to their country. What he did galvanized the people, and on Tuesday, despite shutting down all major roads leading into Cairo, we managed to get over 2 million protesters in Cairo alone and 3 million all over Egypt to come out and demand Mubarak’s departure. Those are people who stood up to the regime’s ruthlessness and anger and declared that they were free, and were refusing to live in the Mubarak dictatorship for one more day. That night, he showed up on TV, and gave a very emotional speech about how he intends to step down at the end of his term and how he wants to die in Egypt, the country he loved and served. To me, and to everyone else at the protests this wasn’t nearly enough, for we wanted him gone now. Others started asking that we give him a chance, and that change takes time and other such poppycock. Hell, some people and family members cried when they saw his speech. People felt sorry for him for failing to be our dictator for the rest of his life and inheriting us to his Son. It was an amalgam of Stockholm syndrome coupled with slave mentality in a malevolent combination that we never saw before. And the Regime capitalized on it today.

Today, they brought back the internet, and started having people calling on TV and writing on facebook on how they support Mubarak and his call for stability and peacefull change in 8 months. They hung on to the words of the newly appointed government would never harm the protesters, whom they believe to be good patriotic youth who have a few bad apples amongst them. We started getting calls asking people to stop protesting because “we got what we wanted” and “we need the country to start working again”. People were complaining that they miss their lives. That they miss going out at night, and ordering Home Delivery. That they need us to stop so they can resume whatever existence they had before all of this. All was forgiven, the past week never happened and it’s time for Unity under Mubarak’s rule right now.

To all of those people I say: NEVER! I am sorry that your lives and businesses are disrupted, but this wasn’t caused by the Protesters. The Protesters aren’t the ones who shut down the internet that has paralyzed your businesses and banks: The government did. The Protesters weren’t the ones who initiated the military curfew that limited your movement and allowed goods to disappear off market shelves and gas to disappear: The government did. The Protesters weren’t the ones who ordered the police to withdraw and claimed the prisons were breached and unleashed thugs that terrorized your neighborhoods: The government did. The same government that you wish to give a second chance to, as if 30 years of dictatorship and utter failure in every sector of government wasn’t enough for you. The Slaves were ready to forgive their master, and blame his cruelty on those who dared to defy him in order to ensure a better Egypt for all of its citizens and their children. After all, he gave us his word, and it’s not like he ever broke his promises for reform before or anything.

Then Mubarak made his move and showed them what useful idiots they all were.

You watched on TV as “Pro-Mubarak Protesters” – thugs who were paid money by NDP members by admission of High NDP officials- started attacking the peaceful unarmed protesters in Tahrir square. They attacked them with sticks, threw stones at them, brought in men riding horses and camels- in what must be the most surreal scene ever shown on TV- and carrying whips to beat up the protesters. And then the Bullets started getting fired and Molotov cocktails started getting thrown at the Anti-Mubarak Protesters as the Army standing idly by, allowing it all to happen and not doing anything about it. Dozens were killed, hundreds injured, and there was no help sent by ambulances. The Police never showed up to stop those attacking because the ones who were captured by the Anti-mubarak people had police ID’s on them. They were the police and they were there to shoot and kill people and even tried to set the Egyptian Museum on Fire. The Aim was clear: Use the clashes as pretext to ban such demonstrations under pretexts of concern for public safety and order, and to prevent disunity amongst the people of Egypt. But their plans ultimately failed, by those resilient brave souls who wouldn’t give up the ground they freed of Egypt, no matter how many live bullets or firebombs were hurled at them. They know, like we all do, that this regime no longer cares to put on a moderate mask. That they have shown their true nature. That Mubarak will never step down, and that he would rather burn Egypt to the ground than even contemplate that possibility.

In the meantime, State-owned and affiliated TV channels were showing coverage of Peaceful Mubarak Protests all over Egypt and showing recorded footage of Tahrir Square protest from the night before and claiming it’s the situation there at the moment. Hundreds of calls by public figures and actors started calling the channels saying that they are with Mubarak, and that he is our Father and we should support him on the road to democracy. A veiled girl with a blurred face went on Mehwer TV claiming to have received funding by Americans to go to the US and took courses on how to bring down the Egyptian government through protests which were taught by Jews. She claimed that AlJazeera is lying, and that the only people in Tahrir square now were Muslim Brotherhood and Hamas. State TV started issuing statements on how the people arrested Israelis all over Cairo engaged in creating mayhem and causing chaos. For those of you who are counting this is an American-Israeli-Qatari-Muslim Brotherhood-Iranian-Hamas conspiracy. Imagine that. And MANY PEOPLE BOUGHT IT. I recall telling a friend of mine that the only good thing about what happened today was that it made clear to us who were the idiots amongst our friends. Now we know.

Now, just in case this isn’t clear: This protest is not one made or sustained by the Muslim Brotherhood, it’s one that had people from all social classes and religious background in Egypt. The Muslim Brotherhood only showed up on Tuesday, and even then they were not the majority of people there by a long shot. We tolerated them there since we won’t say no to fellow Egyptians who wanted to stand with us, but neither the Muslims Brotherhood not any of the Opposition leaders have the ability to turn out one tenth of the numbers of Protesters that were in Tahrir on Tuesday. This is a revolution without leaders. Three Million individuals choosing hope instead of fear and braving death on hourly basis to keep their dream of freedom alive. Imagine that.

The End is near. I have no illusions about this regime or its leader, and how he will pluck us and hunt us down one by one till we are over and done with and 8 months from now will pay people to stage fake protests urging him not to leave power, and he will stay “because he has to acquiesce to the voice of the people”. This is a losing battle and they have all the weapons, but we will continue fighting until we can’t. I am heading to Tahrir right now with supplies for the hundreds injured, knowing that today the attacks will intensify, because they can’t allow us to stay there come Friday, which is supposed to be the game changer. We are bringing everybody out, and we will refuse to be anything else than peaceful. If you are in Egypt, I am calling on all of you to head down to Tahrir today and Friday. It is imperative to show them that the battle for the soul of Egypt isn’t over and done with. I am calling you to bring your friends, to bring medical supplies, to go and see what Mubarak’s gurantees look like in real life. Egypt needs you. Be Heroes.

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“I want to know what the world is doing
watching us dying one-by-one.”



“I’m hiding in one of the buildings near the square with my friends as we need to rest.

One of my friends was hit in the eye with a stone. He was bleeding.

Some of the voluntary doctors helped him as much as they could – they wanted him to go to hospital but he is refusing to go.

It all started around 0400 [local time], about 40 minutes ago.

We heard shooting outside.

I went to the balcony and people were screaming asking for help.

Then we saw the ambulances come to the point where all the injured people go to.

Then there was shooting again.

People are really, really tired. We are so tired. We have spent the whole day and night now, since the early morning we have been here.

Everything is happening in front of the military and they are doing nothing to help.

We are all falling one-by-one.

I think in an hour or so we will go back to the street again.

I am safe where I am now. But people in the street are not safe at all.

People are coming to attack us. I don’t know who they are. There are people coming to attack us.

I want to know what the world is doing watching us dying one-by-one.

Do they want to wait until we are all dead, before they come out and say, ‘Hey, you did it’?”

AZZA IN TAHRIR SQUARE, CAIRO, EARLY THIS MORNING

Follow Nevine Zaki’s reports on Twitter.
Follow Aisha Saad’s reports on Twitter.
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More than half a million of us have so far signed the Avaaz statement declaring our support for the people of Egypt in their demand for freedom and basic rights. Add your voice and send a ringing message to Egypt and to our own governments.

Cairo resident Selma al-Tarzi calls in a report from Tahrir Square

SELMA AL-TARZI: My name is Selma al-Tarzi. And right now I’m at the entrance of the square from the Egyptian Museum side. It’s a massacre. They’re coming in in government cars, buses, and in thousands. They have knives. They are throwing Molotov bombs. They are burning the trees. They are throwing stones at us. We managed to catch many of them. All of them are undercover police.

We don’t have a single ambulance. I’m walking down with a couple bottles of Dettol, to try and do whatever. There are people unconscious. There are hundreds and hundreds of wounded, a lot of head injuries from the throwing of the stones. A lot of people have broken arms and legs. Some people have crutches. Some people managed to get infiltrated with knives. It’s a massacre.

We’ve been cleaning the square. We’ve been keeping it perfectly intact for the past nine days. And now we are forced to break the pavement they have been keeping so impeccable, to protect ourselves. He’s forcing us to destroy the square, so he can say that we destroyed it.

More and more, this is not—this is not a demonstration anymore; this is war. I just want to tell them that there are 50,000 people here, demonstrators. I wouldn’t call that Hosni Mubarak is sending, his protectors or demonstrators. They are not. These are missionaries. But here there are 50,000 innocent people getting hurt and wounded and killed. Many of them are women and children. And they are all ready and prepared to stay here and die here, if this is what it’s going to take to make him leave, if this is what it’s going to take to make the world see that this guy is a criminal of war. This is a mass murder of an innocent people, unarmed innocent people, of women and children and people who are demonstrating for their rights.

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Christians protect Muslims as they pray in Cairo

Like everyone else, I have been anxiously following the news from Egypt as it comes in on Twitter. Among the reports of bullets and petrol bombs, there are many good things emerging from this mass movement of ordinary people calling for freedom and lives of dignity.

The pictures below were sent by Nevine Zaki. As Muslim protesters kneel to pray, leaving themselves vulnerable, Christians join hands and stand watch to protect them.

“Bear in mind,” Nevine writes, “that this pic was taken a month after z Alexandria bombing where many Christians died in vain. Yet we all stood by each other”.




Follow Nevine Zaki’s reports on Twitter.
Follow Aisha Saad’s reports on Twitter.
Follow Nick Kristof’s reports on Twitter

More than half a million of us have so far signed the Avaaz statement declaring our support for the people of Egypt in their demand for freedom and basic rights. Add your voice and send a ringing message to Egypt and to our own governments.

Posted in Conflict, Middle East, Politics | 5 Comments

Forests sell-off: new wrapping, same poisonous proposal

BY JONATHON PORRITT, FORUM FOR THE FUTURE

Last Thursday, Caroline Spelman, Secretary of State at Defra, released the consultation paper on selling off the Public Forest Estate in England. Here’s how I see it:

The campaign against the sell-off has already achieved some notable successes • This has forced the government to try and get much smarter about the sell-off •
This consultation is little more than a sophisticated smoke screen • There’s still all to play for

Bluebells in the Royal Forest of Dean

The proposals that they are consulting on are simply explained:

Ideally, government would like to take the totality of the Public Forest Estate (all 285,000 hectares) out of public ownership.

If possible, they intend to create some new not-for-profit organisations to own and manage both the “heritage forests” (such as the Forest of Dean and the New Forest) and smaller, “local” woodlands with special conservation value.

They want to get rid of the rest via long leases sold to the private sector.

They will apparently undertake to maintain the Forestry Commission’s current arrangements on access and biodiversity via conditions in these long leases.

They would like to see the Forestry Commission converted into a straight regulator of all forestry enterprises in England.

To be fair, that is indeed somewhat different from what they first wanted to do, which was to sell of the lot at the best possible price into the private sector. And this was seen explicitly as part of its ideological drive to shrink the size of the state.

But I hope people aren’t going to be fooled by these apparent concessions. The basic intent is still exactly the same: privatise one the country’s most cherished public assets.

Deer in the New Forest

This means that people shouldn’t get too diverted by the consultation. The focus should instead be on the Public Bodies Bill, currently going through parliament. If this goes through unamended, it will allow the government to do what it really wants whenever most convenient for them.

Watch Jonathon Porritt’s interview on Channel Four News about the forest sell-off

So just imagine the following timeline. This spurious consultation will conclude some time in the summer; the Public Bodies Act will be on the statute book by the autumn. The government can then start formally negotiating with private forestry companies regarding long leases. But, surprise, surprise, they decide not to play ball because they can’t make it work commercially.

So this time next year, Mrs Spelman “regretfully” informs parliament that the leasehold proposal hasn’t worked and they are going to have to sell off the freeholds after all. Bit of an uproar, but there’s sod all our sad MPs can do about it – as Mrs Spelman herself confirmed in her appearance before the EFRA Select Committee:

Chair of EFRA Committee:
“So that’s a once and for all legislative permit that you will never again as a department have to come back for future sales of forestry or such?”

Defra Civil Servant:
“That is the intention.”

Secretary of State, Mrs Spelman:
“The Public Bodies Bill is an enabling bill on the reform on a wide range of arms-length bodies.”

Chair of EFRA Committee:
“So you’ll never, ever again have to come and ask permission?”

Secretary of State, Mrs Spelman:
“We should not have to, no.”

Chair of EFRA Committee:
“So this is our one and only chance?”

DEFRA Civil Servant:
“Yes.”

You have been warned!

Does that sound a bit paranoid? Possibly, but stick to the basic intent: reduce the size of the state. This means getting the Public Forest Estate out of public ownership by hook or by crook.

Sherwood Forest is run by a charitable trust

All the rest is flim-flam. All the “Big Society” guff in the consultation about community ownership is just window dressing. A few thousand hectares might indeed end up as community-owned and managed (or NGO-owned and managed), but so what? They won’t be managed any better than the Forestry Commission manages them today and most users won’t feel any more or less enthusiastic or empowered than they do today.

And all the consultation’s warm words on securing the same levels of access and biodiversity benefits that the Forestry Commission delivers today borders on the dishonest. Will they really enforce all the Forestry Commission’s permissive access agreements on any potential leaseholders? I don’t think so. Will they really oblige potential leaseholders to maintain existing FSC certification on every hectare, as is the case today? I don’t think so.

Good try, Mrs Spelman, but not good enough.

This is why there is still all to play for in terms of killing off this scheme stone dead. Astonishingly, more than 250 000 people have now signed up to the 38 Degrees petition against the sell-off. Of these, 20 000 have now emailed their MPs to focus them on the Public Bodies Bill and not be distracted by yet another tokenistic consultation.

In that regard, it’s worth pointing out that all this has been achieved without a single one of our big environmental NGOs having even flexed their muscles. And that in itself is a very interesting issue – to which I will return next time.

Posted in Capitalism, Environment, Forests, Politics, Society, UK | Leave a comment

Druids plan massive sell off of government ministers

A consultation document was issued today by the Druids, which sets out their proposals to sell most of the members of the British government. Very little opposition to the scheme has been voiced in the run-up to the publication, although the Druids admit that so far no buyers seem likely to come forward.

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